What the ROAD to Housing Act can — and can’t — do for affordability

A Landmark Act for a Long-Standing Crisis

The "Real Opportunities for Affordable Development to Help Our Nation’s Housing" (ROAD) to Housing Act, as it is officially known, represents a significant legislative push to tackle the complex and multifaceted challenges plaguing the U.S. housing market. For over three decades, the housing industry has grappled with a growing imbalance between demand and supply, exacerbated by a confluence of economic factors, regulatory hurdles, and evolving demographic needs. The passage of this comprehensive bill signifies a renewed federal commitment to addressing these issues, moving beyond incremental policy adjustments to a more structural approach.

Mike Miedler, president and CEO of Century 21, described the legislation as a landmark achievement, though he cautioned that its full impact would unfold over time. "I don’t say this lightly: This is the most consequential housing law in over three decades," Miedler told HousingWire. "Our agents see the inventory crisis play out in real time, in every market, every single day. We see what the shortage actually does for the first-time buyer who gets outbid three times and gives up, the young family that keeps renting because nothing in their range ever hits the market. That’s who this is for."

However, Miedler also pointed out that the immediate relief for today’s affordability challenges is limited, with the bill primarily focused on laying the groundwork for future supply increases. "Lower rates would allow those with current 3% to 4% rates to consider selling, creating more inventory on the market," he explained. "More buyers would also emerge. In the short term, the increased supply may be absorbed quickly and affordability remains a challenge."

Addressing the Supply Gap: Key Provisions and Expectations

The ROAD to Housing Act introduces a range of provisions designed to stimulate the construction of new homes and the availability of existing ones. These include:

  • Regulatory Reform: The act seeks to identify and reduce burdensome regulations at the federal, state, and local levels that often delay or increase the cost of housing development. This could involve streamlining environmental reviews, impact fee assessments, and zoning approvals.
  • Permitting Streamlining: A core component of the legislation focuses on expediting the permitting process for new housing projects. This aims to reduce the time developers spend waiting for approvals, thereby lowering construction costs and accelerating the pace of new home delivery.
  • Modernizing Federal Programs: The bill proposes updates to existing federal housing programs, such as those administered by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). These modernizations could include enhancing the efficiency of federal housing finance mechanisms and improving access to capital for developers.
  • Expanding Homeownership Opportunities: Beyond supply-side measures, the act also seeks to create pathways for more Americans to achieve homeownership. This may involve new or expanded down payment assistance programs, down payment assistance grants, and initiatives to support first-time homebuyers.

Economists largely agree that increasing housing supply is a critical component of any long-term solution to the housing crisis. However, they also highlight that borrowing costs, construction expenses, insurance premiums, and property taxes are significant contributors to the current affordability challenges, and these factors are not directly addressed by supply-side reforms alone.

Pamela D’Arc, a Compass agent based in New York City, shared her on-the-ground perspective on the persistent inventory shortage. "There are more buyers than there are apartments and inventory, and it’s pushing the prices way up now," D’Arc stated. "A turnkey apartment, unless it’s priced ridiculously high, is literally coming in with multiple bids on just about everything I’m seeing. We just had six offers on a rental and it wasn’t priced low."

She further noted that a significant portion of the inventory shortage stems from homeowners hesitant to sell due to their current low mortgage rates. "Some of it is due to mortgage rates that people have and don’t want to give up," D’Arc explained. "I have clients who said we want to move to a different neighborhood for our commuting time, but our very low mortgage doesn’t run out until November, so we need to time it because we’re not giving that up early." This "lock-in" effect, driven by the substantial gap between existing mortgage rates and current market rates, has a tangible impact on available inventory.

The Affordability Conundrum: Beyond Supply

While the ROAD to Housing Act is designed to boost housing supply, many experts and industry professionals emphasize that affordability is a complex issue with multiple contributing factors. Joy Silver, chief strategy officer at the Community Housing Opportunities Corp., a California-based nonprofit, expressed concern that the bill does little to address the fundamental economic realities faced by low-income households.

"The hardest part for any developer is the gap financing, right between the equity and the long-term financing," Silver articulated. "In order to get that thing going, now you’ve got 75% of the money you have to find, and who’s going to be able to find that money at an affordable rate? So basically, what have we done? We’ve given banks better ways to make more money." She concluded, "The most positive piece of this legislation is that it happened at all. Politicians and Congress wanted to let people know they could still do something together."

A Rare Moment for Federal Housing Policy

Comprehensive federal housing legislation has been a rarity in recent decades. The foundational framework for the modern federal housing system was established with the Housing Act of 1949, which set a national goal of providing "a decent home and a suitable living environment for every American family." Subsequent landmark legislation, such as the Housing and Urban Development Act of 1968 and the Cranston-Gonzalez National Affordable Housing Act of 1990 (which created the HOME Investment Partnerships Program), further expanded federal involvement. However, since the early 1990s, federal lawmakers have largely relied on targeted appropriations, tax incentives, and temporary relief measures rather than broad, structural reforms akin to the ROAD to Housing Act.

"This law can take great strides toward reducing the housing supply gap, but it will not completely close it," commented Russell McIntyre, principal housing policy analyst for Cotality. "The housing crisis is part of a broader affordability crisis and solving it will require more than changing zoning rules. Still, many of these provisions can lower housing costs and create opportunities for people who might not otherwise have them."

Housing Affordability Tied to Income Shortfalls

The affordability equation is intrinsically linked to the disparity between housing costs and household incomes. Research from RAND has underscored this growing disconnect, demonstrating that affordability has deteriorated as home prices have consistently outpaced income growth and purchasing power. Similar conclusions have been drawn by other researchers, who emphasize that housing affordability is contingent not only on housing costs but also on household income, wage levels, and broader economic conditions.

"The role of stagnant or lagging wages in the affordability crisis has not received commensurate attention in the narrow housing policy debate," observed Noah Breakstone, CEO of Florida-based development and investment firm BTI Partners. "Much of the public and political discourse focuses on ‘greedy developers,’ institutional investors or insufficient subsidies, which risks scapegoating the production side of the equation while underplaying the erosion of purchasing power."

Miedler echoed these concerns, highlighting the increasing financial burden on buyers. "The National Association of Realtors just shared that the median price of a U.S. home is a record $440,600," he stated. "And that’s not the only cost that’s become more burdensome for homeowners – mortgage rates, property taxes, insurance and home upkeep have all increased significantly in recent years." He added, "In order for buyers to absorb those costs, wages will have to increase at a rate that surpasses inflation to create more opportunities for homeownership."

Silver framed the affordability challenge in stark terms, asserting that the concept of the "working poor" should not exist. "There are two words that should never be put together, and that is working poor," Silver declared. "There should never be the working poor. If you’re working, you shouldn’t be poor, and so the affordability factor addresses that – and that’s sorely missing from this bill, in any understanding of the bill."

D’Arc concurred that a singular focus on housing costs overlooks the broader economic picture. "You have to tackle each scenario," she advised. "I think that if we were able to build and just have more mid-level housing, that would help solve it. But obviously, this is another issue of what people are getting paid and how many jobs there are for people getting out of college." She characterized the affordability challenge as deeply interconnected with other systemic issues, stating, "There’s not an integrative plan to solve what the future of our country is in terms of people, young people, coming into the workforce. It’s like the doctor that only looks at your thumb when there’s a lot more going on."

Housing Challenges Remain Localized

Despite the national dialogue surrounding housing affordability, the specific challenges faced by buyers can vary significantly by location. "We really are back to real estate being local," Miedler emphasized. "I talk to numerous brokers every day from different parts of the country, and every call has a different take on what the challenges are for buyers in their area."

D’Arc’s experience in New York City illustrates how affordability has eroded even in historically accessible neighborhoods. "The sprawl of New York City real estate is so immense now in areas like [Bedford-Stuyvesant]," she observed. "I have a client who has been unable to purchase a two-family house in Bed-Stuy. He has $2 million and [can’t get anything]. These were neighborhoods that people went to because they were affordable." She continued, "Astoria, Queens, is now becoming a hot market, or has become. There’s nowhere close to the city that people can afford. It has to be the whole package of a lifestyle that is affordable, so that the people that run our city can get to work in a normal amount of time."

D’Arc also suggested a re-evaluation of terminology, advocating for a shift away from the term "affordable housing," which she believes carries a stigma. "I support changing the name from ‘affordable housing,’ which has a stigma that needs to disappear – so that people are more welcoming of having what I would call ‘essential housing’ in their neighborhoods and in their surroundings in general."

The Next Phase: Implementation and Broader Economic Factors

With the ROAD to Housing Act now law, the focus shifts from legislative debate to implementation. Many of the act’s reforms rely on the collaboration of state and local governments, builders, lenders, and federal agencies to translate policy into tangible increases in housing supply. Simultaneously, broader economic conditions, including inflation, mortgage rates, labor market dynamics, and consumer confidence, will continue to exert significant influence on the housing market’s trajectory.

"As developers, we operate in competitive markets and respond to feasible economics," Breakstone stated. "When regulatory barriers, impact fees, environmental reviews and infrastructure mandates add substantial cost and time, the result is less supply and higher prices – precisely what the data shows. That does not absolve the industry of responsibility to advocate for and deliver attainable housing, but it does mean that narratives that pin the crisis primarily on housing supply actors overlook the larger macroeconomic and policy failures on wages, productivity and the cost of capital."

Miedler acknowledged that lawmakers strengthened the legislation by incorporating industry feedback prior to its final passage. "A law like this is a foundation, not a finish line," he remarked. "Permitting reform and program modernization only count if they translate into homes getting built and families getting to the closing table in actual neighborhoods. And that happens locally, one market and one family at a time."

Silver pointed out that the bill’s eligibility criteria for affordable housing might inadvertently exclude the lowest-income households. "The cream of the crop that makes the numbers work is 60% to 80% AMI," she said, referring to area median income. "The challenge will be for the 30% AMI."

McIntyre expressed optimism regarding the continued promotion of manufactured housing as a potential solution. "Manufactured housing can be produced faster and at a lower cost than traditional site-built housing, but outdated regulations have held it back," he explained. "Removing the permanent chassis requirement can reduce manufacturing costs and help communities consider manufactured housing as a more scalable part of the supply solution."

D’Arc emphasized the need to recalibrate financial expectations within housing development. "Everybody’s trying to make so much money on housing, and we have to find the people that don’t need it, or that’s not their goal in life," she stated. "We need them to get engaged and create affordable housing that again should be called essential housing – and not expect some kind of huge financial benefits."

Ultimately, the success of the ROAD to Housing Act in fulfilling its promise will likely depend on a confluence of factors extending beyond housing policy itself. While increasing housing supply remains a central objective, many industry leaders and economists contend that restoring affordability will necessitate robust wage growth, lower borrowing costs, and sustained efforts at all levels of government to make homeownership an attainable reality for a broader segment of the American population.

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